About the NFL and CFB Futures Simulators

The Unabated NFL and College Football Futures Simulators are built using the same professional betting models that Rufus Peabody uses. These tools simulate entire football seasons thousands of times to help bettors find futures value across win totals, division races, conference titles, and Super Bowl odds.

Turn Power Ratings into Futures Value

Designed by pro bettor Rufus Peabody, the NFL Futures Simulator transforms your team power ratings — or preloaded Massey-Peabody ratings — into projected outcomes over 10,000 season simulations.
Get fair prices on win totals, playoff probabilities, and futures markets for every NFL team.

Choose from Basic, Advanced, or Unabated modes to model entire teams or adjust for offense, defense, and quarterback depth. Dial in home-field advantage and simulate QB injury likelihood to see how volatility changes your edge.

The Only Simulator that Models Uncertainty

Unlike any other football futures tool, the Unabated Simulator includes a Ratings Update Function — a dynamic way of approaching team performance uncertainty.

Teams with unstable quarterback or coaching situations can be modeled more aggressively, while stable rosters can be set to conservative volatility.

As each season progresses, Risk, Uncertainty and Forecasting (RUF) adjusts team variance and widens or tightens outcome distributions — giving bettors realistic futures projections backed by professional-grade data science so you can model volatility and avoid fitting square pegs into round holes in your sims.

Find the Edge in College Football Futures

Simulate win totals, conference champions, and odds to make the College Football Playoff with the CFB Futures Simulator built by Rufus Peabody and Cade Massey. It's the sharpest college football model in the game.

Stay Ahead of the Selection Committee

The CFB Futures Simulator uses the same power-ratings process as our NFL Futures Simulator, but tailored to college football’s unique structure.

Our model simulates the Selection Committee’s decision process, projecting which teams are most likely to make the College Football Playoff — giving you an accurate read on who's in, who's out, and where the betting value is.